Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.167820 0.196147 0.227263 0.263906 0.305803 0.352132 0.407162
2025-11-30 0.126734 0.166729 0.215391 0.278585 0.358065 0.454263 0.579012
2025-12-07 0.095640 0.137815 0.193282 0.270773 0.375296 0.510318 0.696666
2025-12-14 0.074904 0.116629 0.175221 0.262203 0.386447 0.555619 0.801012
2025-12-21 0.060724 0.101311 0.161709 0.256258 0.398158 0.600253 0.906002
2025-12-28 0.052456 0.093045 0.156606 0.260812 0.424016 0.665540 1.044191
2026-01-04 0.046799 0.087773 0.154969 0.269790 0.456556 0.742446 1.204833
2026-01-11 0.041510 0.082114 0.151685 0.275287 0.483561 0.812507 1.360002
2026-01-18 0.036597 0.076225 0.147044 0.277625 0.505135 0.875178 1.507788
2026-01-25 0.032175 0.070458 0.141712 0.277859 0.522726 0.932216 1.650098
2026-02-01 0.027973 0.064380 0.134916 0.274470 0.533339 0.978015 1.776656
2026-02-08 0.024228 0.058570 0.127779 0.269443 0.540205 1.017473 1.894723
2026-02-15 0.020430 0.052052 0.118508 0.259499 0.537550 1.041013 1.988864
2026-02-22 0.019469 0.051719 0.121771 0.274631 0.583533 1.154626 2.249864
2026-03-01 0.016681 0.046614 0.114276 0.266974 0.584642 1.186591 2.366434
2026-03-08 0.014248 0.041884 0.106881 0.258518 0.583093 1.213089 2.474304
2026-03-15 0.012341 0.038104 0.101052 0.252649 0.586032 1.247978 2.599775
2026-03-22 0.011313 0.036459 0.099965 0.257145 0.610907 1.327035 2.814378
2026-03-29 0.010632 0.035645 0.100763 0.266009 0.645831 1.428280 3.078282
2026-04-05 0.009833 0.034335 0.100140 0.271436 0.673657 1.517017 3.322922
2026-04-12 0.008967 0.032652 0.098319 0.273744 0.694655 1.593066 3.546699
2026-04-19 0.008107 0.030804 0.095791 0.273976 0.710843 1.659999 3.755752
2026-04-26 0.007204 0.028621 0.092029 0.270629 0.718354 1.708934 3.930537